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MEF’s Annual Business Confidence Index
5th quarterly result indicates moderate decline suggesting market caution • Direct consumer purchase forecast revenues rise from 46% to 73% • Games and apps represent highest new revenue opportunities • Southern hemisphere lead the way in growth during 2009 • MEF projects $36 billion mobile media industry for 2010
MEF’s Annual Business Confidence Index (BCI), compiled by KPMG and capturing a year’s worth of quarterly industry sentiment, points to a consistent positive growth for the mobile media and entertainment industry, with a cooling in optimism from Q3 2009.
Andrew Bud, the Global Chair of MEF stated: “Since its launch in January 2009, the BCI has underlined the industry’s ability to weather the storm of the recession and leverage the new opportunities presented by the proliferation of smartphones and digital economy business models. With the global economic recovery underway, the first aggregate results of the Annual BCI point to a toughened industry which has readjusted growth predictions from 33% growth in Q2, down to 24%.
“Just as industry was resistant to despair in the height of the recession in the first quarter of 2009, so it has successfully resisted exultant relief during economic recovery as reflected in a more conservative forecast for the size of the mobile media market since last year from $32 to $36 billion.”
Rimma Perelmuter, MEF Executive Director added that: “By comparing each set of BCI findings, we have identified clear regional market variations between December 2008 and December 2009. Last year demonstrated significant growth in C&S America (up from a 2% share in December 2008 to 7% in December 2009), Africa & the Middle East (4% to 10%) and APAC (9% to 12%). These findings highlight a growth trend in market share across the Southern Hemisphere, but also a decline for Northern Hemisphere regions, particularly in North America and Western Europe. Looking forward to the next 12 months, general stability is projected across the global market which indicates a degree of market caution.”
Mark Harding, Director of Digital Content at KPMG, who analysed the survey findings, said: “While the industry has had to adapt to the challenges of the global economic downturn, reducing annual growth projections, there is optimism in the rise of applications, which look set to drive the industry forward as it continues towards recovery.
“Respondents now expect the value chain that develops, sells and delivers applications to account for 21% of revenue streams for the next quarter and the majority expect this to be incremental revenue. Considering applications stores only came about 18 months ago, this is a significant development, showing consumers’ willingness to embrace and consume mobile content.” • 17-2-10
2010 Eurasia Com conference • Istanbul
Leaders of the telecommunications sector in Turkey, Central Asia, the Black Sea countries and across Eurasia gathered today in Istanbul for the opening of Eurasia Com, their annual congress.
Over 300 participants attended the opening session to hear about investment strategies in a changing telecoms ecosystem. Leading investors, incumbents, competitive operators, new entrants, carriers and ministry representatives were represented in a session which gave an engaging overview of the market and its opportunities.
Gemma Bunting, Analyst at Informa Telecoms and Media, opened the day with a market overview. "Over the many years that the Eurasia Com has been held, she says, the region has experienced phenomenal growth; penetration stands at 70% (not including Turkey) but there is still room for organic growth".
A Q&A session with Mustafa Kiral, VP at Altimo, gave an idea of what a major investor looks for in terms of opportunities. Russia-based Altimo is looking at Africa for new growth, but the CIS is still a key investment target.
A panel discussion with Ineke Botter (CEO of Azerbaijan's Bakcell), Mehman Hazanov (Deputy Director General of Aztelecom in Azerbaijan), Ike Kuka (Chairman of Dardafone in Kosovo) and Patrick George (VP of Belgacom), looked at how the telecoms ecosystem is evolving in the region, with new operator business models and changing relationships with vendors, investors and regulators.
Ilqar Sadigov of the Ministry of information in the Nachivan Autonomous Republic in Azerbaijan, gave a government perspective. Robert Waaler of Smarttrust talked on devices and applications for the region. To close the session, Masoud Golshani of Vodafone Turkey, gave an inspiring presentation on leading change in telecommunications companies - a great way to get conversations going over lunch.
The afternoon session will break into two streams focusing on the specific aspects of broadband strategies on the one hand (3G, LTE, WiMAX) and marketing and services strategies on the other hand.
Day 2 features our Special Turkey Focus Day - 8 hours dedicated to the regional market powerhouse with contributions from senior representatives of Turk Telekom, Turkcell, Avea, Superonline and more. If you operate in Turkey this is one NOT to miss! • 23-3-10
More contents on Eurasia Com 2010
Telco Updates
Telco spots on TwitterCantabria infinita
Cueva de El Soplao • Turismo y gastronomía
Propuestas en Brasil
Cabo Frío: paraíso a 200 km de Río • Niterói: playas, arquitectura y agenda cultural • El camino de Niemeyer: recorrido arquitectónico
Propuestas en Argentina
Ruta Nacional 40: Recorrido por la parte Norte • Centro (Cuyo) • Sur (Patagonia)
